Last updated by Admin, January 19, 2009

Event Date:  27 November 2008

INITIAL PhD SEMINAR - Thursday 27th November

Population ageing, health status and health outlays: Assessing impacts
and policy options during the next 40 years.

Presented by Sharyn Lymer
PhD candidate at the National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling,
University of Canberra

The ageing of the population in Australia, due to decreased fertility
and increased longevity, is placing increased pressure on government
budgets. This fiscal pressure will be heightened by the large cohort of
baby boomers reaching older ages from 2011. A key concern is the high
level of public expenditure on older Australians, in the areas of
social security, health and aged care. In Australia, the development of
APPSIM, a dynamic microsimulation model, has been funded by the
Australian Research Council and 12 government departments to develop a
sophisticated policy decision making tool to look at the effects of
ageing over the next 40 years.

This seminar will present an outline of proposed research on the
effects of ageing and various other factors, including health status
and presence of obesity on the use and cost of health care services in
Australia over the next 40 years. The research will include the
development of modelling infrastructure to assess the distributional
impact of changes in health status and health policy through the
building of a health module within the dynamic microsimulation model,
APPSIM. This model will allow the investigation of how changing health
status, either compression or expansion of morbidity, of the ageing
Australian population affects health expenditure, both by the
government and the individual. In addition, the potential impact of
increasing obesity rates on population health status, health service
utilisation and the associated effects to health expenditure over time
will be explored through the model.

Sharyn Lymer is a PhD candidate at the National Centre for Social and
Economic Modelling, University of Canberra, supervised by Prof. Ann
Harding and Prof. Laurie Brown.

Date: Thursday 27th November
Time: 10:30 - 11:30 am
Venue: Demonstration Room
Ground Floor
170 Haydon Drive, Bruce, ACT 2617

RSVP:
Email: hotline@natsem.canberra.edu.au
Tel: (02) 6201 2780

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